Germany’s 10-year Bund yield held around 3.05%, close to 15-year highs, as stubborn inflationary pressures overshadowed optimism from US-Iran peace talks. While mediators reported progress in extending the ceasefire, with both sides agreeing in principle to continue negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear program, the Strait of Hormuz, and war reparations, uncertainty persists after the US announced plans to deploy 10,000 more troops to the region. Though the prospect of dialogue pushed oil prices below $100 per barrel and boosted risk sentiment, elevated energy costs continue to drive inflation. Markets now anticipate at least two ECB rate hikes by year-end. On Tuesday, ECB President Christine Lagarde noted that higher energy costs have deviated the eurozone from its baseline economic outlook but did not indicate immediate rate action.
