Market sentiment around Bitcoin is gradually improving, supported by a slight weakening of the US dollar and rising risk appetite ahead of Monday’s US session. Negotiations between Washington and Tehran are ongoing, and in the short term the market appears cautiously optimistic about the possibility of at least a temporary ceasefire.
Bitcoin chart (D1 timeframe)
Looking at the last two downward price impulses, BTC has behaved similarly in both cases. Currently, as well as at the turn of November and December 2025, the price declined by around 10% below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the downward move—previously around $91,000, and currently near $69,000. As in the previous move, the price has also rebounded from resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement – earlier around $98,000, and now approximately $74,600.
The key support level is currently located around $65,000. A break below this threshold could trigger a decisive third downward impulse. If such a move were to mirror the scale of the previous two declines (roughly 1:1), Bitcoin could potentially fall toward the $45,000 area. On the other hand, upward move above $70k makes the retest of $74.600 more probable.
Source: xStation5
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